Main analysis file

This is the main R file for running the analysis. It includes descriptive plots of the time series data, Bayesian fitting for the alternative models, and comparison of LOO values.本文件为执行分析所用的主R脚本文件。其包含时间序列数据的描述性绘图、各备选模型的贝叶斯拟合，以及留一法（Leave-One-Out，LOO）指标值的对比。