Replication data for: Disentangling the Vietnam Draft Effect: The Scope of Issue Attitudes of Men Affected by the Lottery

Erikson and Stoker (2011) exploit a well-timed Vietnam War-era panel survey to analyze the effect of the draft lottery on the political opinions of draft-eligible men. In this replication, we examine the robustness of their findings, by disaggregating their measures of political opinions, to identify what is driving their results, and extending their logic to other related measures of substantive interest that were not originally considered, but are available in the original survey data. We revise their models where they would be more appropriately estimated as binary or ordinal instead of linear regression, and present quantities of interest for clearer interpretation. Through these extensions, we more precisely identify where the effects of the draft lottery on political attitudes are, and explore the pathways through which it operates.

埃里克森与斯托克（Erikson and Stoker，2011）借助一项恰逢其时的越南战争时期面板追踪调查，分析了征兵抽签对符合征兵条件男性政治观点的影响。在本次复刻研究中，我们通过拆解细分其原有的政治观点测量维度，探明其研究结果的核心驱动因素，并将其分析逻辑拓展至原始调查数据中虽未被原研究纳入考量、但具备实质性研究价值的其他相关测量指标，以此检验其研究发现的稳健性。我们对原模型进行修正：对于更适合采用二分或有序回归而非线性回归进行估计的模型场景，调整了模型设定，并呈现核心关注统计量以提升解读清晰度。通过上述拓展分析，我们更为精准地定位了征兵抽签对政治态度的影响所在，并探究了其发挥作用的具体路径。