Parameter values for Eqs (3) and (4), and the public-response function, Eq (5), obtained by fitting to COVID-19 epidemiological data from Ontario between January 25, 2020 and June 30, 2020 inclusive.
Inferring epidemiological parameters such as the R0 from time-scaled phylogenies is a timely challenge. Most current approaches rely on likelihood functions, which raise specific issues that range fro
Identifying changes in the reproduction number, rate of spread, and doubling time during the course of the COVID-19 outbreak whilst accounting for potential biases due to delays in case reporting both