Recommendations for quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate projections of species distributions Global Change Biology

Projecting the future distributions of commercially and ecologically important spe - cies has become a critical approach for ecosystem managers to strategically antici - pate change, but large uncertainties in projections limit climate adaptation planning. Although distribution projections are primarily used to understand the scope of po - tential change— rather than accurately predict specific outcomes— it is nonetheless essential to understand where and why projections can give implausible results and to Grant no. NA17OAR4310108 Grant no. NA17OAR4310268