Markov Forecasting Methods for Welfare Caseloads
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Forecasting welfare caseloads, particularly turning points, has become more important than ever. Since welfare reform, welfare has been funded via a block grant, which means that unforeseen changes in caseloads can have important fiscal implications for states. In this paper I develop forecasts
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美国国家经济研究局创建时间：
2005-10-01
