Philippine Dengue Cases

Dengue is a viral disease spread by Aedes aegypti mosquitoes. It is a problem in many tropical and subtropical parts of the world including Africa, Southeast Asia, and South America. In the Philippines, the viral disease is still endemic in all regions wherein annual cases have ranged from 200,000 to 400,000.

In this dataset, the weekly cumulative confirmed cases of Dengue in the Philippines from January 1, 2017 to October 8, 2022 were collected from the Philippine Department of Health website. The Excel file has three sheets: Sheet 1 contains the raw data that was extracted from the DOH website; Sheet 2 contains the raw, computed (Δ(X_n-X_(n-1))), and imputed data that were used in building the ARIMA-GARCH and HW models; and, Sheet 3 contains the forecasts from the models considered.

The data are useful as they as they can be used to train predictive models that can produce short-term forecasts of Dengue cases in the Philippines. These data can provide dynamic information to health officials and other concerned departments and agencies for surveillance, analysis, policy making, and decision making. The data are reusable and can be used to further explore the dengue cases in the Philippines.

登革热是一种由埃及伊蚊（Aedes aegypti）传播的病毒性疾病，在全球诸多热带及亚热带区域均构成公共卫生问题，波及非洲、东南亚与南美洲等地。在菲律宾，该病毒性疾病在所有辖区均呈地方性流行态势，年度报告病例数介于20万至40万例之间。

本数据集采集了2017年1月1日至2022年10月8日期间菲律宾的登革热周累计确诊病例数据，数据来源为菲律宾卫生部官网。该Excel文件包含三个工作表：工作表1收录了从菲律宾卫生部官网提取的原始数据；工作表2包含用于构建ARIMA-GARCH模型与霍尔特-温特斯（HW）模型的原始数据、计算所得的Δ(Xₙ - Xₙ₋₁)差分数据以及插补后的数据；工作表3则收录了所考量模型生成的预测结果。

该数据集具备较高应用价值：可用于训练预测模型以实现菲律宾登革热病例的短期预测；可为卫生官员及其他相关部门、机构提供动态信息，助力疫情监测、数据分析、政策制定与决策工作；该数据集可重复使用，可用于进一步探究菲律宾登革热的流行态势。

搜集汇总

背景与挑战

背景概述

该数据集记录了菲律宾从2017年1月1日至2022年10月8日的每周累积确诊登革热病例数据，数据来源于菲律宾卫生部网站，包含原始数据、处理后数据及模型预测结果。这些数据可用于训练预测模型，为卫生部门提供短期病例预测和决策支持，具有较高的实用性和可重复使用性。