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Forecasting Inflation

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NBER1999-03-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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This paper investigates forecasts of U.S. inflation at the 12-month horizon. The starting point is the conventional unemployment rate Phillips curve, which is examined in a simulated out of sample forecasting framework. Inflation forecasts produced by the Phillips curve generally have been more

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1999-03-01
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