新能源发电功率预测

通过建模分析风速等历史气象数据与新能源发电功率的相关性，结合未来时段内风速、风向、辐照度、湿度等气象预报数据，新能源发电转换效率及脱敏后的电网断面潮流控制约束等运行数据，生成该时段逐15分钟新能源发电功率预测产品。可用于电网电力电量平衡及新能源消纳分析业务、新能源企业并网运行及市场竞价业务提供精准、高效的服务。By modeling and analyzing the correlation between historical meteorological data (such as wind speed) and new energy generation power, and integrating meteorological forecast data including wind speed, wind direction, irradiance, humidity and other metrics for the target future time period, as well as operational data such as new energy generation conversion efficiency and de-identified grid section power flow control constraints, this framework generates a 15-minute interval new energy generation power forecasting product for the corresponding time period. This product can deliver accurate and efficient services for power grid power and energy balance, new energy consumption analysis, new energy enterprise grid connection operation and market bidding related businesses.