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The Risk of Narrow, Disputable Results in the U.S. Electoral College: 1836-2020

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NBER2020-10-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Close elections are important for many reasons, including that consequent election disputes can weaken democratic legitimacy and risk political violence. We quantify the probability of close outcomes in US presidential races with novel applications of empirical election models from several sources.

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2020-10-01
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