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Using Disasters to Estimate the Impact of Uncertainty

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NBER2020-05-01 更新2025-01-04 收录
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Uncertainty rises in recessions and falls in booms. But what is the causal relationship? We construct cross-country panel data on stock market returns to proxy for first- and second-moment shocks and instrument these with natural disasters, terrorist attacks, and political shocks. Our IV regression

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2020-05-01
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