SARS-CoV‑2 Variants Are Selecting for Spike Protein Mutations That Increase Protein Stability

The emergence of variants of SARS-CoV-2 with mutations in their spike protein are a major cause for concern for the efficacy of vaccines and control of the pandemic. We show that mutations in the spike protein of SARS-CoV-2 are selecting for amino acid changes that result in a more thermodynamically stable protein than expected from background. We suggest that the computationally efficient analysis of mutational stability may aid in early screening of variants.