The application of cumulus models to MOS forecasts of convective weather

The National Weather Service currently issues twice-daily forecasts of thunderstorms and severe local storm probability based on Model Output Statistics. The probability forecasts are given by a weighted linear combination of meteorological predictors derived from NMC's limited-area fine mesh (LFM) model and TDL's three-dimensional trajectory model. David H. Kitzmiller. Includes bibliographical references (pages 12-13). 1985 NWS (National Weather Service) Library Public Domain 1931彼时美国国家气象局（National Weather Service, NWS）基于模式输出统计（Model Output Statistics, MOS），每日发布两次雷暴及局地强风暴概率预报。该概率预报由NMC有限区域细网格（LFM）模式与TDL三维轨迹模式所导出的气象预报因子的加权线性组合生成。本资料作者为大卫·H·基茨米勒（David H. Kitzmiller），包含参考文献（第12-13页），隶属于1985年美国国家气象局（National Weather Service, NWS）图书馆，属于公共领域，编号1931。